Workshop Videos

Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Conversation with Climate Scientists and Economists

Klaus Keller, Penn State University, delivers a lecture entitled, “Deep Uncertainty of Climate Sensitivity Estimates: Sources and Implications”, during the YCEI conference, “Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Conversation with Climate Scientists and Economists”.

Kevin Trenbeth, National Center for Atmospheric Research, delivers a lecture entitled, “Ocean Heat Uptake: The Apparent Hiatus in Global Warming and Climate Sensitivity” during YCEI’s conference, “Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Conversation with Climate Scientists and Economists”

John Reilly, MIT, delivers a lecture entitled, “The Role of Climate Sensitivity in Integrated Assessment Models”, during the YCEI conference, “Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Conversation with Climate Scientists and Economists”.

Trude Storelvmo delivers a lecture entitled, “The Impact of Aerosols on Climate Sensitivity Estimates”, at the YCEI conference “Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Conversation with Climate Scientists and Economists”.

Chris Forest, Pennsylvania State University, discusses estimations of climate sensitivity and testing of models against what is known about the past thousand years.

William Nordhaus, Yale University, gives a lecture during the YCEI conference, “Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Conversation with Climate Scientists and Economists.”  Explaining that he’s an economist, Nordhaus apologizes and says that what’s really relevant to the discussion is an understanding of statistics which is the subject...

Antony Millner of the London School of Economics starts his talk by saying he’s been given the “distressing” task of describing what’s know about the “fat tails” of probability distribution that indicate catastrophic outcomes.

Dan Lunt, University of Bristol, UK, discusses the basics of climate modeling and a history of how they’ve grown in sophistication through the present day and the questions that remain. 

Yale Professor Ken Gillingham welcomes participants in this YCEI sponsored workshop that brings together climate change scientists and economists whose modeling efforts hinge on the need to accommodate anticipated climate change in a warming world.  

Gary Yohe of Wesleyan University explains how the value of information regarding projections of climate sensitivity depends on:

1. what the decisions are to be made about and for whom, 2. the character of the decision space (states of nature, irreversibility, persistence, etc.), 3. decisions based on the range of “...

Martin Weitzman of Harvard University begins his discussion by reviewing the most recent IPCC Summary Report and the language they use for describing the likelihood of various climate sensitivity scenarios.  He relates that language and those likelihoods to the various probability distributions calculated by climate and economic modelers.

Geoff Heal, Columbia University, discusses how scientists and the IPCC specificlaly focus on general tendencies related to climate change, whereas what economists need are more information about the outlying events, the disaster scenarios that motivate policy choices.  

Stephen Schwarz, Brookhaven National Laboratory, delivers a talk entitled, “Empirical Determination of Earth’s Climate Sensitivity and Implications of Present Uncertainties”, at the YCEI conference “Uncertainty in Climate Change: A Conversation with Climate Scientists and Economists”.